Prediction Markets, Simplified

Everyone's Got
a Take.

Conviction is an asset. Text what you think. We'll put money on it.

JK
AS
MR
TL

2,847 people on the waitlist

9:41
TakeiMessage
AI is going to take over

big take. found 3 markets for that:

YES AGI by 2030@22¢ $45
YES AI Replaces 10M Jobs@35¢ $35
YES NVIDIA 200+@58¢ $20

$100 in. if you're right, ~$280 back.

reply YES to lock it in, or tell me more.
YES
done. i'll text you when things move. $280 potential return.
text your next take...

Markets From

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
  • PredictIt
  • Manifold
Live Markets

Bet on What You Know

Politics, tech, sports, business — there's a market for every opinion you've ever had.

Tech

AI companies will boom

3 positions~$280 potential
Economy

the fed cuts rates

4 positions~$210 potential
Geopolitics

europe figures it out

3 positions~$190 potential
Sports

the lakers are back

2 positions~$320 potential
Crypto

crypto winter is over

5 positions~$410 potential
Climate

EVs take over by 2030

4 positions~$260 potential
No App Required

Works Where You Already Text

No downloads, no learning curve. Just open your favorite messaging app and start trading.

iMessage
Telegram
WhatsApp
How It Works

Text It. Take Handles the Rest.

Text an opinion like you'd text a friend. Take finds the markets, builds a diversified portfolio, and manages it from there.

9:41
TakeiMessage
the fed cuts rates

found 4 related markets. here's your portfolio:

YES Fed Cut Mar@62¢ $40
YES Rate Below 4%@28¢ $35
NO Recession 2026@72¢ $25

$100 in. if you're right, ~$210 back.

YES
locked in. fed decision is March 19 — i'll keep you posted. $210 potential.
text your next take...

No App Download

Works in iMessage, Telegram, and WhatsApp. Your messaging app is the product.

Take Manages Everything

Diversified portfolio in seconds. Sizing, timing, rebalancing — Take handles it all. You just have opinions.

Sign In With Google or Apple

No passwords, no crypto wallets. Sign in with your Google or Apple account — powered by Privy. Fund with Apple Pay or credit card.

It Texts You Back

Markets move, positions shift — Take texts you. Proactive updates, not just alerts.

Social Trading

See Who's Winning

Follow friends. Discover sharp traders. Bet alongside anyone — or against them.

01

Follow the Sharp Ones

Friends, top traders, anyone with a hot streak. Follow people and get notified when they make a move.

02

Copy or Oppose

Agree with someone's take? Copy it in one text. Think they're wrong? Bet against them.

03

Win Rates Are Public

Everyone has a track record. Follow the sharp minds — or prove you're one of them.

This Week's Leaderboard

1
MR
Mark R.
65% win rate+30%
2
SK
Sarah K.
72% win rate+24%
3
AT
Alex T.
58% win rate+18%
9:41
TakeiMessage

your friend mark has smart takes. he's up 30% this week — 65% win rate.

he thinks spacex IPOs this year. wanna bet alongside him?

how much is he in for?
mark put $75 on it. 4 others followed. want to match or go your own size?
match him
done. you're in alongside mark — i'll keep you both posted. 5 people are on this take now.
text your next take...
Your Track Record

Your Takes Are Social Currency

Every take builds your reputation. Win streaks, sharp calls, bold predictions — it all adds up. Share your wins, build a following, and let your track record do the talking.

2,847+
On the Waitlist
50+
Markets Available
<6s
Opinion to Portfolio

I texted 'AI companies will boom' and had a portfolio in 5 seconds. This is wild.

JK

Jake K.

Beta tester

Finally, prediction markets for normal people. No wallets, no jargon, just texts.

SM

Sarah M.

Early access

FAQ

Questions? Answered.

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